Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.031371 0.034159 0.036910 0.039824 0.042817 0.045799 0.048988
2024-12-22 0.025174 0.029645 0.034173 0.039077 0.044217 0.049424 0.055081
2024-12-29 0.021224 0.026816 0.032606 0.038989 0.045778 0.052742 0.060386
2025-01-05 0.017969 0.024340 0.031080 0.038628 0.046756 0.055175 0.064493
2025-01-12 0.015160 0.022087 0.029573 0.038082 0.047349 0.057030 0.067816
2025-01-19 0.012183 0.019410 0.027416 0.036668 0.046862 0.057603 0.069651
2025-01-26 0.011043 0.018742 0.027417 0.037546 0.048787 0.060692 0.074098
2025-02-02 0.009567 0.017560 0.026751 0.037609 0.049756 0.062690 0.077316
2025-02-09 0.007735 0.015805 0.025332 0.036751 0.049643 0.063459 0.079153
2025-02-16 0.006700 0.014964 0.024927 0.036996 0.050713 0.065477 0.082302
2025-02-23 0.005601 0.013948 0.024258 0.036895 0.051357 0.066994 0.084873
2025-03-02 0.004606 0.012981 0.023599 0.036765 0.051936 0.068410 0.087304
2025-03-09 0.003724 0.012200 0.023267 0.037161 0.053282 0.070865 0.091091
2025-03-16 0.002439 0.010663 0.021960 0.036418 0.053367 0.071969 0.093460
2025-03-23 0.001595 0.009636 0.021238 0.036329 0.054170 0.073848 0.096659
2025-03-30 0.000847 0.008529 0.020337 0.035976 0.054630 0.075312 0.099368
2025-04-06 0.000273 0.007406 0.019330 0.035445 0.054845 0.076468 0.101706
2025-04-13 NaN 0.005917 0.017694 0.034068 0.054025 0.076422 0.102677
2025-04-20 NaN 0.005689 0.017851 0.034922 0.055814 0.079308 0.106888
2025-04-27 NaN 0.005086 0.017403 0.034984 0.056644 0.081089 0.109849
2025-05-04 NaN 0.004106 0.016287 0.034149 0.056379 0.081600 0.111370
2025-05-11 NaN 0.003684 0.016017 0.034388 0.057380 0.083542 0.114476
2025-05-18 NaN 0.003150 0.015508 0.034289 0.057959 0.084984 0.117006